- Dave Thompson is going to get the endorsement for governor. He's worked quietly, in large measure because his campaign doesn't necessarily have the resources that some of his opponents have, but in the end I suspect he'll prevail because he's a little more in tune with the grassroots of the party than his opponents and his campaign has done a nice job of moving his supporters through to the convention. It will take at least two ballots to get there, but Thompson will get it. Whether he can win a primary against Marty Seifert and well-heeled Scott Honour is another matter, but we'll worry about that when the time comes.
- I'm not sure anyone will leave with the Senate endorsement, and frankly all the candidates have issues. I heard a little of Mike McFadden on the radio yesterday morning and he's improved his game somewhat, but I'm still not convinced that he's the right guy for the job -- he's got money and a lot of institutional backing, but he doesn't do much for the people who will actually need to hit the streets to help his campaign. Julianne Ortman has been a mixed bag in her legislative career, but she does carry the Sarah Palin Seal of Approval, which might help her in some, but not all, precincts of the party. Jim Abeler is a nonstarter.
- So where does that leave us? With a primary fight and a test of the party's strength, especially in getting its endorsed candidates through to the actual ballot.
Thursday, May 29, 2014
Not going to Rochester
I won't be there for the state Republican convention, but I'll make a few guesses: