Time to put down a marker on the Republican side. Impressions:
Donald Trump continues to suck most of the air out of the room. I don't know that, when it comes time to actually vote, he'll get many. He is entertaining, of course, and he's been able to dominate the news cycle ever since he got in the race. I don't see him making it, though.
Jeb Bush doesn't really have a reason to run, other than it's his turn. He also gains a lot of enmity among the base. His best hope is that Trump clears out a bunch of the other candidates.
Scott Walker hasn't had a great launch, but he's got a great story and he can tell it well enough. He'll be a contender.
Marco Rubio is a talented guy; he may emerge. He's made a few enemies, though, and they tend to be loud.
Ben Carson is, in the end, not a serious candidate. He has his fans, but I don't see him getting there.
Mike Huckabee has his constituency, but his constituency isn't going to be sufficient to get the nomination. He's got too much Elmer Gantry in him for my tastes.
Rand Paul has been trying to thread the needle by keeping some libertarian street cred while simultaneously trying to avoid the odor of his father's campaign. I don't think he'll be able to sustain it.
Ted Cruz might be the most talented guy in the field. I suspect he'll do very well in the debates. He could emerge.
Chris Christie is too much of a jerk to get through the process. He'll find a way to implode.
John Kasich might have the best credentials in the field, but he's not a pleasant person and he's got too much Jon Huntsman in him to win. If you don't recognize the name Jon Huntsman, you've actually identified the problem.
Rick Perry is sitting pretty low in the polls, but I think he could emerge. He's clearly learned from his 2012 run and has a good record. Someone to watch.
Carly Fiorina has been the most pleasant surprise of the campaign. She's smart and she's tough. A lot of people bag on her for her unsuccessful Senate campaign in California, but the electorate she would face nationally will be easier to sway than the electorate she saw in California. There's a good chance she'll be the VP candidate on the final ticket.
Bobby Jindal is potentially a very good candidate, but he can't get started. Not sure where his constituency will come from, either.
Rick Santorum is not going to make it. He's essentially battling for the same voters as Huckabee and there aren't enough of them to get the nomination.
Lindsey Graham should just go home.
George Pataki is running, I guess. Needs something to do, apparently.
Jim Gilmore apparently was the governor of Virginia at some point. He had an excellent career in the old ABA as well. No, I'm sorry, that was Artis Gilmore.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments.